Life expectancy is a distribution, not a number
“Life expectancy 78.98 years” is an average that no individual actually lives. This simulation runs hundreds of possible lifetimes for a person your age on a survival curve calibrated to Saudi Arabia’s official life expectancy — and shows where they land.
Expected years remaining
45.3yrs
Median age at death
82yrs
Chance of reaching 80
57%
Chance of reaching 100
2.9%
Age at death (5-year bins) · ■ bin containing the median (82) · gray = already survived
How it works — and what it is not
Lifetimes are drawn from a Gompertz–Makeham survival model whose parameters are solved so that life expectancy at birth equals the official anchor — 78.98 years (World Bank SP.DYN.LE00.IN (2024)), the same figure shown on this platform’s homepage. Sampling is inverse-CDF, conditional on your current age, with a deterministic seed (re-running the same age reproduces the same cohort). The headline statistics come from the analytic curve; the falling cohort visualises the spread.
This is a modelled estimate calibrated to one official moment — not an official life table, and not a prediction for any individual (it ignores gender, health status, and cohort improvements in mortality). Read it as a shape, not a forecast. See the methodology for how estimates are labelled on this platform.
Does Saudi Arabia publish this data? Yes —
The classic versions of this simulation use national actuarial life tables (US Social Security, UK ONS). Saudi Arabia has direct equivalents; wiring any of them in would replace the calibrated model with observed age-specific mortality:
The national statistical authority publishes Saudi abridged life tables alongside its population estimates — the domestic equivalent of the US SSA / UK ONS actuarial tables this kind of simulation classically uses.
WHO publishes full life tables (survivorship lx, mortality rates by age and gender) for Saudi Arabia in its Global Health Estimates.
Single-age life tables and mortality projections to 2100, downloadable per country — the richest openly downloadable source.
Disclaimer
This platform is an independent, non-commercial data visualization project. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or produced by the Ministry of Health of Saudi Arabia, the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), the World Bank, the World Health Organization (WHO), or any other government body or institution.
All data presented is sourced exclusively from publicly available official publications, including MOH Statistical Yearbooks, GASTAT health statistics reports, World Bank Open Data, and WHO Global Health Observatory. Statistical figures are reproduced as-is for informational and educational purposes. No personal, patient, or individually identifiable data is collected, stored, or displayed.
While every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, the data may not reflect the most recent figures. Users should refer to the original source publications for authoritative and up-to-date statistics. This platform does not constitute medical, financial, or policy advice.
Data sources: MOH · GASTAT · World Bank · WHO · Last aggregated: May 2026